Friday, March 29, 2024

On the forecast in international relations

Since ancient times, human beings have sought to speculate what is in store in the future. Speculating methods used to be fateful and magical. Gradually, depending on scientific advances, human beings capitalize on knowledge to make speculation. Thus, speculation is more rational and sensible, and speculating results are more accurate. This lays the basis for the shift from speculation to forecast. Only until late 20th century did forecasting results be used and become reliable. Forecast is termed by some as outlook research while others term it as future study. Whatsoever it is termed and whatever approach is adopted, forecasting is an indispensible research methodology in the current era of information, science and technology. This article introduces several basic concepts on forecasting and based in the reality of the 20th century, it will also produce some forecasts for international relations of the 21st century.

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  1. Chính sách Đối ngoại Việt Nam
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